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Fair Value Gap

Written and reviewed in-house. No named analyst yetUpdated Jul 19, 2026

A fair value gap is a three-candle pattern where the first candle's wick and the third candle's wick do not overlap, leaving a price range that traded in one direction only. It marks an imbalance — an area price moved through too fast for two-sided trade — and price frequently returns to complete it.

Fair Value GapcollectingA-grade fill rateno resolved sample yetmethod →
Found by the engine this weekXAU/USD · 1H · Jul 22, 2026
Fair value gapFair value gapOne-sided displacement1Return fills the gap2
  1. 1Displacement leaves the imbalance
  2. 2Return trades back through it
Run this fair value gap read yourself

What the engine actually checks

“Looks like one” is not a rule. Detection requires every hard criterion and scores the confluences — fail a hard criterion and it is not this setup, it is a hope with a nickname.

Hard criteria — all required

  • Three consecutive candles where candle one's wick and candle three's wick do not overlap.
  • The middle candle showing genuine displacement rather than a slow drift.
  • The gap unfilled at time of detection.

Confluences — weighted, not required

  • Gap size relative to ATR — very small gaps are noise, very large ones fill partially.
  • The displacement broke a structural point.
  • Gap sitting in the discount half of the dealing range for a long.

Trading it

  1. 1
    Where you are wrong
    For a fill trade, a close beyond the far edge of the gap. The imbalance is the whole thesis; once price has traded fully through it and kept going, the area has been rebalanced and there is nothing left to return to.
  2. 2
    Entry
    Either at the gap on the return (treating it as a level), or on the reaction after a partial fill. The important distinction is that a gap is a zone rather than a line — entering at its far edge and entering at its near edge are different trades with different stops.
  3. 3
    Objective
    Gaps are used as targets at least as often as entries: an unfilled gap above price is somewhere price has demonstrated it can travel quickly. Treating them as objectives rather than as entries is the less crowded and frequently the more useful application.

Worked example — real numbers

Entry
2398
Stop
2390.5
Target
2415
Risk : reward
1 : 2.27

entry at the gap edge, stop beyond the imbalance, target at the prior high. A valid formation offering under about 1.5R is still a valid formation and still not worth taking — valid and worth it are different questions.

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The scoreboard

Resolution by grade, market and timeframe — because a single blended number would let strong contexts carry weak ones, which is how every invented “success rate” in this category is constructed.

GradeMarketTimeframeResolutionSample
ACommodities15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
ACommodities4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
ACrypto15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
ACrypto4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
AFX15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
AFX4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BCommodities15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BCommodities4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BCrypto15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BCrypto4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BFX15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
BFX4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CCommodities15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CCommodities4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CCrypto15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CCrypto4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CFX15m–1Hcollectingno resolved sample yet
CFX4Hcollectingno resolved sample yet

Where this traps people

Is yours a valid one?

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Questions traders actually ask

What is a fair value gap?
A three-candle formation where the outer two candles' wicks leave a range that never traded in both directions. It marks an imbalance created by one-sided movement, and price returning to that range is the behaviour the setup trades.
Do fair value gaps always fill?
No. The claim that they always do is survivorship bias — filled gaps are memorable, open ones are forgotten. In strong trends imbalances stay open for long periods, and treating a fill as inevitable is how traders end up fading momentum.
What is the difference between an FVG and a regular gap?
A conventional gap is a break between one session's close and the next session's open, so it needs a market that closes. A fair value gap forms within continuous price action from three consecutive candles, which is why the concept works in crypto and FX where sessions do not close.
How do you trade a fair value gap?
Either as an entry when price returns to it, or as a target when one sits open in the direction you are already trading. The second use is less crowded and generally more reliable, because it does not require the gap to hold as support.
What is an inverse fair value gap?
A gap that price traded fully through, after which the same range is treated as a level in the opposite direction — a bullish gap that failed becomes resistance. It is a reasonable idea and a considerably thinner-sample one, so it is scored separately.

Learn it · scan for it

AcademyT4 · Lesson 3 — Fair value gaps
Smart Money Concepts →
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